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17-Nov-2020 18:14

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(And yes, I'm doing it too.) A cynic might point out that both e Harmony and PNAS got what they wanted.  6,654 of these people met online, 35% of the total, which is a surprisingly high percentage.

The headline result is the claim that couples who met online have "higher marital satisfaction." People who met this way reported a satisfaction of 5.64, on average, versus 5.48 for those who met offline.

Several things are immediately obvious when one looks at the composition of the online versus offline couples.

  The online couples are significantly older, wealthier, and more educated: for example, 40.5% of those who met their spouse online reported an income of 0,000 or more, compared to just 26.1% of the offline couples.

In my reading of the study, it seems much more likely that other factors explain the difference.

The online couples are significantly older, wealthier, and more educated: for example, 40.5% of those who met their spouse online reported an income of 0,000 or more, compared to just 26.1% of the offline couples.

(Note 2: The authors did make all their raw data available, a feature that is still quite rare in scientific publishing.   I've long advocated for more openness in data release and these authors have done the community a service by releasing theirs.) Well, here's a shocker.

e Harmony, the online dating service, commissioned a survey that found out that couples who get married after meeting online are more satisfied than other couples. But here's another shocker: a leading scientific journal just published the e Harmony survey as a scientific study.

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The article also reports the marital satisfication score of specific online dating sites.   That's the conclusion that e Harmony wanted. In many ways, this study seems like the often-criticized studies funded by drug manufacturers that find small but significant benefit for the sponsors' drugs.

But these steps wouldn't eliminate bias that might have crept in earlier, when the e Harmony-sponsored survey was being conducted. (This assumes, of course, that the effect is real.) They suggest that There it is! Certainly there's a difference here, in that the only result is that someone might be convinced to try an on-line dating site, which might not be harmful at all.



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